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Post-Keynesian Economics
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== <span style="color: #FFFFFF;">Applying</span> == '''Modeling 'The Minsky Cycle' (Predicting a financial crash based on debt):''' <syntaxhighlight lang="python"> def predict_financial_instability(total_debt, annual_growth_rate, period_of_stability_years): """ Shows how 'Confidence' leads to 'Crisis'. """ # Minsky's Law: The longer the 'Peace', the higher the 'Risk' confidence_factor = period_of_stability_years * 0.1 debt_weight = (total_debt / annual_growth_rate) * 0.5 instability_score = confidence_factor + debt_weight if instability_score > 15: return "VERDICT: MINSKY MOMENT imminent. Prepare for a crash." elif instability_score > 10: return "VERDICT: Fragile stability. Speculative 'Ponzi Finance' detected." else: return "VERDICT: Hedge Finance. The system is stable (for now)." # Case: A country with 20 years of 'Peace' and high debt print(predict_financial_instability(200, 2, 20)) </syntaxhighlight> ; Post-Keynesian Landmarks : '''The Cambridge Capital Controversy (1950s-60s)''' β A famous "War of Words" between economists in Cambridge, UK and Cambridge, USA, where the Post-Keynesians proved that mainstream "Math models" of capital were logically impossible. : '''Stabilizing an Unstable Economy (1986)''' β Hyman Minsky's book that predicted the 2008 Financial Crisis 22 years before it happened. : '''The 'Modern Monetary Theory' (MMT) Boom''' β A recent "Spin-off" of Post-Keynesianism that argues the government should "Hire everyone" to ensure full employment, regardless of the deficit. : '''The 'Financialization' of the World''' β Post-Keynesian research showing that the world economy has moved from "Making things" to "Trading debt," making it more fragile than ever. </div> <div style="background-color: #8B4500; color: #FFFFFF; padding: 20px; border-radius: 8px; margin-bottom: 15px;">
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