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Intertemporal Choice
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== <span style="color: #FFFFFF;">Applying</span> == '''Modeling 'The Discounting Gap' (Calculating the 'Perceived Value' of a future reward):''' <syntaxhighlight lang="python"> import math def calculate_future_value(amount, days_wait, bias_factor=0.5): """ Shows why 'Wait' kills the 'Value' of a reward. """ # Hyperbolic Formula: Value = Amount / (1 + k*t) # Plus a 'Present Bias' multiplier if days_wait > 0 k = 0.01 # Impatience constant if days_wait == 0: perceived_value = amount else: # Bias factor represents 'Hyper-discounting' for the future perceived_value = (amount / (1 + k * days_wait)) * bias_factor return round(perceived_value, 2) # Case: $100 today print(f"Value Today: ${calculate_future_value(100, 0)}") # Case: $100 tomorrow (Value drops instantly due to bias) print(f"Value Tomorrow: ${calculate_future_value(100, 1)}") # Case: $100 in 100 days print(f"Value in 100 Days: ${calculate_future_value(100, 100)}") </syntaxhighlight> ; Time Landmarks : '''The 'Save More Tomorrow' Plan''' β A retirement plan where employees commit to "Save their FUTURE raises." Because the "Cost" is in the "Future," the "Doer" doesn't mind, but the "Planner" secures the money. : '''Climate Change''' β The "Ultimate" intertemporal choice. The "Cost" is "Reducing our lifestyle today," and the "Benefit" is "A planet in 50 years." Humans are "Biologically bad" at this choice. : '''Addiction''' β The "Total Victory" of the "Present Self." The brain's "Discounting Curve" becomes so "Steep" that the next "Hit" is worth "Everything," including the future of your "Health and Family." : '''Deadlines''' β Why we "Crunch" at the end. As the "Deadline" gets closer, the "Future Cost" becomes a "Present Cost," and our "Bias" finally flips to "Action." </div> <div style="background-color: #8B4500; color: #FFFFFF; padding: 20px; border-radius: 8px; margin-bottom: 15px;">
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