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Time Series
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== <span style="color: #FFFFFF;">Remembering</span> == * '''Time Series''' β A series of data points indexed (or listed or graphed) in time order. * '''Trend''' β The long-term increase or decrease in the data (e.g., global warming). * '''Seasonality''' β Predictable patterns that repeat over a fixed period (e.g., ice cream sales in summer). * '''Cyclical Component''' β Patterns that repeat but not over a fixed period (e.g., economic "boom and bust"). * '''Noise (Irregular)''' β Random variations that cannot be explained by trend or seasonality. * '''Stationarity''' β A property where the statistical characteristics of the series (mean, variance) do not change over time. * '''Autocorrelation''' β The correlation of a signal with a delayed version of itself (how today relates to yesterday). * '''Lag''' β The amount of time by which one variable is separated from another. * '''Moving Average''' β A calculation to analyze data points by creating a series of averages of different subsets of the full data set. * '''Forecasting''' β The process of making predictions of the future based on past and present data. * '''ARIMA (AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average)''' β A popular statistical model for time series forecasting. * '''Smoothing''' β A technique to remove "noise" from a data set to see the underlying pattern. * '''Exponential Smoothing''' β A technique that gives more "weight" to recent data points when forecasting. * '''Seasonally Adjusted''' β Data that has had the seasonal component removed to reveal the true trend. </div> <div style="background-color: #006400; color: #FFFFFF; padding: 20px; border-radius: 8px; margin-bottom: 15px;">
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