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Causal Inference
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== <span style="color: #FFFFFF;">Remembering</span> == * '''Causal Inference''' β The branch of statistics concerned with identifying cause-and-effect relationships. * '''Counterfactual''' β The "What if?" scenario; what would have happened if a different action had been taken. * '''Confounder''' β A variable that influences both the cause and the effect, creating a "spurious" correlation (e.g., 'Heat' causes both ice cream sales and shark attacks). * '''Randomized Controlled Trial (RCT)''' β The "Gold Standard" of causal inference, where participants are randomly assigned to groups to eliminate confounders. * '''Observational Study''' β A study where the researcher does not control the assignment of treatment (common in economics and sociology). * '''Selection Bias''' β When the people who choose a treatment are different from those who don't (e.g., people who take vitamins are already more health-conscious). * '''Instrumental Variable (IV)''' β A variable that affects the treatment but has no direct effect on the outcome, used to "isolate" a causal effect in observational data. * '''Propensity Score Matching''' β A technique that attempts to estimate the effect of a treatment by accounting for the covariates that predict receiving the treatment. * '''Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG)''' β A visual map of causal relationships (nodes and arrows). * '''Do-calculus''' β A mathematical framework developed by Judea Pearl for intervening in a causal system. * '''Average Treatment Effect (ATE)''' β The average difference in outcomes between the treated and untreated groups. * '''Natural Experiment''' β An empirical study where individuals are exposed to the experimental and control conditions as determined by nature or other factors outside the control of the investigators (e.g., a change in law in one state but not another). </div> <div style="background-color: #006400; color: #FFFFFF; padding: 20px; border-radius: 8px; margin-bottom: 15px;">
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